Population in India
Introduction
- Population Definition: Population refers to the total number of people living in an area at a specific time.
- India’s Population: According to the 2011 Census, India’s population was 121.02 crores, making it the second most populous country after China.
- Census: Conducted every 10 years in India to measure population size and characteristics.
- Economic Development: A country’s growth depends on both the quantity (number of people) and quality (health, education, skills) of its population.
- World Population Day: Celebrated on 11th July since 1987, when the global population crossed 500 crores.
- India’s Share: India has 17.5% of the world’s population but only 2.4% of the world’s land area.
Historical Background
- First Census: Conducted in 1872, though partial censuses occurred between 1865–1872.
- Kautilya’s Arthashastra: Written in the 3rd century BCE, it emphasized collecting population data for taxation purposes.
- Census Authority: Population statistics are compiled by the Office of the Registrar General and Census Commissioner of India.
Basic Features of India’s Population (Recap from Std. VIII and X)
- Sex Ratio: Number of females per 1000 males.
- Population Density: Number of people per square kilometer.
- Age Composition: Distribution of population across different age groups (e.g., children, working-age, elderly).
- Urbanisation: Percentage of people living in urban areas compared to rural areas.
Trends in Population Growth
Data Source: Census surveys provide information on population size, structure, and characteristics.
Population Growth Table (Table 6.1):
Year | Population (Crores) | Annual Growth Rate (%) |
---|---|---|
1911 | 25.2 | – |
1921 | 25.1 | -0.03 |
1931 | 27.9 | 1.0 |
1941 | 31.9 | 1.3 |
1951 | 36.1 | 1.3 |
1961 | 43.9 | 2.0 |
1971 | 54.8 | 2.2 |
1981 | 68.3 | 2.2 |
1991 | 84.6 | 2.1 |
2001 | 102.7 | 1.9 |
2011 | 121.02 | 1.4 |
Key Observations:
- 1911–1921 (Marginal Decline): Population slightly decreased from 25.2 crores to 25.1 crores due to epidemics like influenza, cholera, plague, and malaria, leading to a negative growth rate.
- Year of Great Divide (1921): Marked as the turning point because population growth became consistently positive after 1921.
- 1931–1941: Stable growth with an annual rate of 1–1.3%.
- 1951–1971: Significant rise in population from 36.1 crores to 54.8 crores post-independence.
- 1971–2001 (Population Explosion): Annual growth rate exceeded 2%, indicating rapid population growth.
- 2001–2011 (Slowdown): Growth rate declined from 1.9% to 1.4%, showing a slowing trend.
Theories of Population Growth
1. Malthusian Theory (Thomas Malthus, 1798)
- Concept: Population grows in geometric progression (e.g., 2, 4, 8, 16), while food supply grows in arithmetic progression (e.g., 1, 2, 3, 4).
- Result: This imbalance leads to food shortages.
Solutions:
- Preventive Checks: Late marriage, moral restraint (e.g., celibacy).
- Positive Checks: Natural calamities (e.g., famines, diseases) that reduce excess population.
- Preference: Preventive checks are more reliable.
2. Theory of Demographic Transition (A.J. Coale & E.M. Hoover, 1958)
Concept: Explains how population growth changes with economic development through three stages:
First Stage (Low Growth):
- High birth rate and high death rate.
- Common in pre-industrial societies with poor living conditions (e.g., illiteracy, poverty, no medical facilities).
- India was in this stage before 1921.
Second Stage (High Growth):
- Death rate falls due to better healthcare, but birth rate remains high.
- Leads to population explosion.
- India is currently in this stage but nearing the third stage.
Third Stage (Low/Stable Growth):
- Both birth and death rates are low due to industrialization, urbanization, and education.
- Seen in developed countries.
Visual Representation (Fig. 6.2): Shows how birth and death rates in India have changed over time, supporting the demographic transition theory.
Key Population Concepts
- Birth Rate: Number of births per 1000 people in a year (also called fertility rate).
- Death Rate: Number of deaths per 1000 people in a year (also called mortality rate).
- Survival Rate: Difference between birth rate and death rate, indicating actual population growth.
- Formula: Survival Rate = Birth Rate – Death Rate.
Population Explosion in India
- Definition: When population growth outpaces economic development.
- Cause: High birth rate combined with a low death rate.
- Data (Table 6.2):
Year | Birth Rate | Death Rate |
---|---|---|
1901 | 49.2 | 42.6 |
1911 | 48.1 | 47.2 |
1921 | 46.3 | 36.3 |
1931 | 45.2 | 31.2 |
1941 | 39.9 | 27.4 |
1951 | 41.7 | 22.8 |
1961 | 41.2 | 19.0 |
1971 | 37.2 | 15.0 |
1981 | 32.5 | 15.0 |
1991 | 29.5 | 9.8 |
2001 | 28.3 | 9.0 |
2011 | 20.97 | 7.48 |
Causes of High Birth Rate
- Illiteracy: Illiterate people, especially women, have rigid attitudes toward marriage and childbirth.
- Universal Marriage: Marriage is a social and religious norm, unchanged even with education.
- Low Marriage Age: Legal marriage age is 18 for females and 21 for males, lower than many countries.
- Preference for Male Child: Families continue having children until they have a son (son meta-preference).
- Joint Family System: No individual financial burden, encouraging larger families.
- Dependence on Agriculture: More children mean more labor for farming.
- Poverty: Poor families see children as economic support.
- Lack of Family Planning Awareness: Ignorance about contraception methods.
Causes of Low Death Rate
- Improved Medical Facilities: Eradication of epidemics like plague, cholera, and malaria.
- Decline in Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR): Better maternity care reduces deaths during childbirth.
- Decline in Infant Mortality Rate (IMR): Dropped from 146 per 1000 in 1951 to 47 per 1000 in 2011 due to better healthcare and women’s literacy.
- Increased Literacy: Educated people take better care of health and children.
- Nutritious Food: Programs like mid-day meals reduce malnutrition-related deaths.
- Disaster Management: National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA), formed in 2005, reduces loss of life.
- Other Factors: Urbanization, social reforms, and awareness campaigns.
Effects of Population Explosion
- Increased pressure on land and agriculture.
- Strain on infrastructure and basic amenities (e.g., water, housing).
- Imbalance between food demand and supply.
- Inflation and environmental problems.
- Social issues (e.g., unemployment) and low national income.
Measures to Control Population Explosion
A. Economic Measures
- Expand the industrial sector.
- Create employment opportunities.
- Reduce poverty.
- Ensure equitable distribution of income and wealth.
B. Social Measures
- Spread education, especially among women.
- Improve the status of women.
- Raise the minimum marriage age.
C. Population Policies
Family Planning Programme (1952):
Aimed to reduce birth rates but was unsuccessful due to lack of awareness, religious beliefs, and inconsistent policies.
Family Welfare Programme (1979):
Integrated family planning with maternal and child health and nutrition services.
National Population Policy (NPP), 2000:
Goals:
- Free education up to age 14.
- Reduce IMR to below 30 per 1000.
- Reduce MMR to below 100 per 100,000.
- Universal child immunization.
- Delay marriage for girls (preferably after 20).
- Control communicable diseases.
- Achieve stable population by 2045.
Population as a Human Resource
- Human Resource Importance: People turn natural resources into valuable assets through their skills and demands.
- Human Development: Introduced by UNDP in 1990, it focuses on improving economic, social, cultural, and political choices.
- Demographic Dividend: When the working-age population is high, it boosts economic growth (India’s advantage).
Role of Human Resources in Economic Development
- Primary Goal: Human development improves living conditions, which is the ultimate aim of economic growth.
- Social Stability: Reduces civil unrest and promotes political stability.
- Holistic Development: Covers all aspects of human life (not just income).
- Education: Increases literacy, reduces birth and infant mortality rates, and controls population.
- Quality of Life: Improves life expectancy and living standards.
- Research and Development: Encourages innovation through educated individuals.
- Productivity: Investment in health, nutrition, and education increases output.
- Universal Application: Relevant to both developing and developed countries.
Population Education
- Definition (UNESCO): An educational program to create awareness about population issues and develop responsible attitudes toward population quality and quantity.
- Purpose: Teach students about family, community, national, and global population dynamics.
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